Afghan people hope for Loya Jirga
 

From Ahmed Rashid

The Nation (Lahore)
 

KABUL­The hopes for future peace and stability for the majority of Afghanistan’s 26 million people rests not with US forces, or international peace keepers and not even with Hamid Karzai, the Chairman of the interim government. Instead their hopes and expectations rest with a group of 21 middle-aged Afghans, most of them professors and lawyers who make up the Loya Jirga Commission (LJC) which has been charged with holding Afghanistan’s traditional tribal council by June.

 

Set up by the UN brokered Bonn agreement last December, the LJC is responsible for calling together between 800-1000 people’s representatives to Kabul in the first week of June and holding the Loya Jirga. The Jirga will establish a new transitional government for two years, nominate a head of state and a head of government, choose a commission to debate the country’s future constitution and create the modicums of a modern state such as an ethnically balanced and representative civil service and judicial system. The LJC members were chosen by the UN, are independent of the government and represent all the major ethnic and religious groups in the country.

 

‘’It is the greatest challenge in the country today, everybody is depending on us to do it right and do it well, the future of the country rests on the decisions of the Loya Jirga being accepted by the majority of people,’’ says Abdul Aziz Ahmed, Vice Chairman of the LJC. Aziz was once Dean of the Sharia or Islamic Law Faculty of Kabul University, but dressed in a pin striped suit and a tie, his soft and non-confrontational manner demonstrates how many Afghans once viewed Islam before the arrival of the Taliban. ‘’Islam has everything to do with modernism and democracy, not with the kind of ideas the Taliban were propagating,’’ he adds.

 

There are three women on the commission and they along with the male members are determined to ensure that there will be a large representation of Afghan women. ‘’You will be surprised when you see the eventual final list, we will have more women in the Loya Jirga than in any representative parliament or body of any Muslim country,’’ says LJC member Soraya Parlika, a former head of the Afghan Red Crescent which is affiliated to the Red Cross. Other members say there will be at least 100 women from all walks of life taking part in the LJ. ‘’In some areas where we travel the men are still not allowing the women to talk when we hold meetings, but that is slowly breaking down as the women are demanding to be heard,’’ says Parlika.

 

Nobody doubts that the presence of so many women in the Loya Jirga will be path breaking for a country that has suffocated under Taliban rule since 1994 and has known nothing but war for 24 years.

 

The last genuine LJ was held in 1964. Since 1973 when former King Zahir Shah was overthrown in a military coup, Afghanistan has been plagued by illegitimate governments run by strongmen from communists to Islamic mujahideen, who have tried to legitimise themselves by calling Loya Jirgas. But the membership of all these Loya Jirgas were heavily rigged in the government-of-the-day’s favour.

 

Now Ismael Qadimyar, a constitutional law expert who heads the LJC is determined to bring together such a complete mix of people that nobody will be able to question the legitimacy of the LJ in June or its decisions about the future of the country. ‘’This LJ will have legitimacy because it has been mandated by the international community in Bonn, the impartial UN is helping us, the people support us and want it and even the neighbouring countries will be scared to try to undermine it or influence it adversely,’’ says Qasimyar.

 

Traditionally the LJ was made up of tribal and clan chiefs and village and town elders from all ethnic groups across the country. Qasimyar is extending the membership to include representatives from the millions of Afghan refugees in Iran and Pakistan, the vast Afghan diaspora from California to Berlin, women, technocrats and businessmen and traders from inside and outside Afghanistan and even nomads who have never been represented before. UNICEF is even planning to hold a children’s Loya Jirga before the real one starts.

‘’The only disqualification is that members cannot belong to terrorist groups or the Taliban,’’ says Qasimyar, who took part in Loya Jirgas in 1964, 1976 and 1987 and has also been Chief Justice of the Supreme Court of Afghanistan. In 1992, after the fall of the Afghan communist regime, the mujahideen government gave him the task of formulating a new constitution but he never had a chance to get going because civil war broke out.
 

At the end of March the LJC will announce the rules and procedures of how indirect elections will be held in communities and members can be chosen. That will be followed by a frenzy of political activity as communities discuss who to send and they will arrive at a consensus through a process of indirect elections in April and May which will take the shape of mini-jirgas around the country.

 

Then comes the difficult logistics of bringing the representatives to Kabul safely when there is an uncertain security situation in many of the country’s 32 provinces, housing and feeding them and ensuring their security in Kabul. Former King Zahir Shah, who will return to Kabul after 30 years in exile will open the first session of the LJ in June. Royalists want him to be chosen as Head of State and retain Hamid Karzai as head of government, but that is still to be opposed by many of the warlords and factions.

Some warlords are already trying to derail the process, by preparing the ground so that they can send their relatives and loyalists to represent ‘the people’ in the LJ. ‘’The warlords want to stuff the LJ but we have one great tool that we have been given by the UN - the Commission is empowered to reject those candidates it does not believe reflects the will of the people,’’ says Qasimyar with a chuckle. ‘’We will reject those candidates whose hands are bloodied,’’ he says.
 

UN consultants to the LJC admit the task is hard. ‘’There will probably be no Western peace keeping forces in cities outside Kabul to ensure free voting, there will be no new Afghan army or consolidation of warlord armies, there will still be millions of weapons, there will not be enough money to conduct the process freely - but I think the people want this to work and that’s the most important thing,’’ says a senior UN consultant to the LJC. ‘’The hardest thing is finding out how to have a proper ethnic representation because there has been no census for 30 years and no reliable figures - it’s the biggest on going debate we have. What is the percentage of Pashtuns or Tajiks or nomads, it’s a guess at the moment,’’ he adds.

LJC members have so far toured six of the country’s 32 provinces to spread their message and elicit peoples views. But many provinces are out of bounds, either because the US is hunting down Taliban remnants or warlords continue to make their territories unsafe. ‘’Where we have gone the warlords have seen the massive public response to us and they are scared, so we hope that this process will shut them up and cower them so the people can express their views and choose their candidates freely,’’ says an LJC member.
 

The BBC and Voice of America are preparing special radio programmes in local languages to whip up support for the Loya Jirga and explain the procedures. The LJC is soon to open offices in all the major cities so that people can be educated. More than 60% of the population is estimated to be under 25 years old and has no recollection of a genuine Loya Jirga. Like so many other things in Afghanistan - the return of the King, the yearning for peace and jobs - the Loya Jirga has already taken on a mythological quality that will hopefully ensure its success. ‘’Its like playing a chess match,’’ says the UN consultant. ‘’Not only do you have to think several moves ahead but you have to also think about what the opponents will do and to determine their actions in order to preempt them,’’ he adds.


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